Saturday, November 14, 2009

It Is Worse Than We Thought

I'm interested in climate science. Who wouldn't be given the political ramifications? Well I have come across some Russian scientists [pdf] who have scared the heck out of me.

The changes will have very serious consequences, and it is necessary to begin preparations even now, since there is practically no time in reserve.
Yep. No time to waste. It is worse than we thought. Is he worried about warming? No.
For several years until the beginning in 2013 of a steady temperature drop, in a phase of instability, temperature will oscillate around the maximum that has been reached, without further substantial rise. Changes in climatic conditions will occur unevenly, depending on latitude. A temperature decrease in the smallest degree would affect the equatorial regions and strongly influence the temperate climate zones. The changes will have very serious consequences, and it is necessary to begin preparations even now, since there is practically no time in reserve. The global temperature of the Earth has begun its decrease without limitations on the volume of greenhouse gas emissions by industrially developed countries; therefore the implementation of the Kyoto protocol aimed to rescue the planet from the greenhouse effect should be put off at least 150 years.
The paper was translated from Russian which explains the inartful wording. From the graphs in the paper I infer it was written around December of 2008. We should know by 2015 or so if the predictions are correct. In the mean time it wouldn't hurt to plan ahead for global cooling. Just in case.