Friday, May 17, 2024

Lawfare Wants an Acquittal


I believe the "Hush Money trial" zeitgeist has changed. The judge today denied a critical prosecution objection At about 11:40 of the video. "Was Davidson extorting Trump" - ordinarily that is an easy "sustained". It was overruled. I think the calculus has changed from "get Trump convicted" to "get Trump away from the cameras".

Here is my thinking: A conviction will require sentencing. The Democrat operatives are now desperate to avoid the bump in the polls that would give Trump. No more 3 times a day press conferences. No more Congressional delegations backing Trump. No appeals - to remind people of the disaster. Shut it down. He can't give a directed verdict - that makes the sham way too obvious. What is left? Jury instructions for the judge. No more witnesses for the prosecution. Costello (Cohen's former lawyer) will be allowed for the defense. The cross examination of Costello will be weak.

i.e. they are on the horns of a dilemma FJB if they do, FJB if they don't. But mainly - stop giving Trump all that free publicity. The trial is over. Totally.

The jury instructions will be key. Who do they favor?

Update: 1 June 2024 0226z

Guilty on all 34 counts and Trump and his supporters are energized. I think we will see a significant boost in the polls by Monday or Tuesday.






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1 comment:

M. Simon said...

I was 'betting' that someone would get to the judge and get 'innocent' jury instructions.

Screwed that pooch on didn't I? Didn't they? Trump fund raising is beyond belief. Counting large and small donors $200 million in 2 days. Preliminary polls show him up +2 or +6 MORE. We will get a better reading by Friday.

Anybody with half a brain could see the writing on the wall. Evidently Democrats are missing that half.