Saturday, February 26, 2022

Russian Casualties in Ukraine

I have seen reports in the comments of 2,500 Russian dead. 2,500/150,000 = 1.667%. After 1 day of fighting. At that rate he won't have an Army within a week. 6 days actually. (10% is a decimation). It may get worse. That might mean a Russian collapse within days. The battle over the capitol will be telling. If it goes on for more than a day it means serious resistance  and the odds of them taking the whole country are seriously reduced.

If it even gets that far.

Lets hope we avoid the bog as well.

Russia is not a strong country. They can't afford to lose. Which means their incentives are wrong. They will continue past the point of exhaustion.  The last time they overdid it there was a revolution. 1917.

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