Model Prediction

Disasters are coming so the climate modelers tell us.

OK models predict. Even the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) says there are serious shortcomings in the models. I could build a computer model that PROVES you are going to win the lottery. Send me some cash now.

What we are finding is that the data the models are built on is not very good. In fact the noise in the data exceeds the .6 deg C warming supposedly already in evidence. When the noise exceeds the signal the data is not to be trusted for small changes.

New experiments show the solar magnetic field is likely to have a large effect on clouds. Not in the model.

Sunspot cycles have a large effect on solar output. Not in the model.

Solar output can vary by more than .2% on any given day. Not in the model.

Ocean circulation and air circulation - not well modeled.

Human caused global warming is religion - not science.

Cross Posted at The Astute Bloggers