Friday, November 21, 2008

Looking At The Future

Some times you can tell a lot about the future by looking at the past. The past I want to look at was the Bush/Kerry, Keyes/Obama election results in Illinois from 2004.

I'm going to repost a bit I did then in its entirety. Jack Ryan was the Republican who Obama's confederates got kicked off the ballot. I'm not going to go into the details of that - you can look it up. Any way Alan Keyes was Ryan's replacement.

So here it is: Jack Ryan Republicans.

Here is a comment I made to one of my cultural conservative friends who said cultural conservative were the new American center:

Main Stream Media think they are the middle too.

They are no more correct than you are.

Think of how the Senate/Presidential race went in Illinois. Bush got 45% of the vote - 2,313,415 votes. Keyes got 27% - 1,371,882 votes. If you parse the numbers about 130,000 voted in the Presidential race that did not vote in the Senate race (more unhappy Republicans?).

Keyes didn't get the votes of the Jack Ryan Republicans. It shows.
So my Cultural Conservative friends - think of it. Bush would have won Illinois by picking up 6% of the votes (giving 51%). Alan Keyes would have needed to pick up 24% of the votes to get a similar result. What are the odds? I said in 2004 that the writing was on the wall for Cultural Conservatives as a political movement.

Have have words on the wall been written in big enough letters so you can see yet?

Well. We shall see won't we?

Cross Posted at Classical Values


J Carlton said...

I think that the biggest reason that Obama keeps winning is that he is a master of divide and conquer in the Alinsky style. Keep the opposition at each other's throats and he is unstoppable. Right now we don't have time for the blame game anymore. We were all wrong. Economic Cons stayed home because they did not understand McCain's policies and they were afraid of the social cons, a fear that to me seems to be exaggerated and spread by an all too willing media. social cons stayed home because they didn't understand the economics. In both cases instead of talking to each other and forging a winning coalition we stayed separated and easy targets for a tissue of lies. Tearing ourselves apart only helps Obama and his crew of tyrants and crooks.

M. Simon said...

If the Rs would stick to economics I think there is a winning coalition there. But the party has to walk the walk, not just talk the talk.

And the party could do with some education on the subject. Our last President who had an economics degree pretty much understood the requirements. However, the party has forgotten.

I still think Palin's attitude is the way forward. The state is secular. It is not the definition of what is moral. That is up to the individual.

BTW we are having the discussion. And I'm throwing everything I have into the discussion.

I would like to see a rebuilding of the Reagan coalition. i.e. one based on economics. I would like to see our side stop fighting the culture war. Internally and with the larger population.

And if the Obama administration is only one of crooks - that is survivable. If it is one of tyrants then we are in a world of hurt. I'm betting on crooks.

RavingDave said...

I agree.